New Market Highs Suggest a Classic ‘Blow-off Top’ May Be Underway After months of steep drops and cautious rallies, the stock market enjoyed fairly steady growth in November, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 and Nasdaq all hitting multiple new record highs. Investor optimism was fueled mainly by the possibility that a partial …
Bond-Based Strategies Can ‘Soften’ the Impact of Uncertainty in Many Ways In a year that has seen the stock market hit new record highs and experience record short-term drops, the rollercoaster ride continued this past month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened October with a 900-point dip over two days, then ended the month with …
Is the Banking System’s Recent Liquidity Crunch a Potential ‘Iceberg’? For the most part, September was another month of nervous stability for the financial markets— until the very end. As September gave way to October, the stock market took another big dip, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling around 900 points in two days. …
With the Yield Curve Fully Inverted, Is the Clock Ticking Toward Recession? After hitting new record highs in late July, each of the major stock market indexes started August with a drop. The market regained some of those losses only to drop again the following week, then repeated the cycle as the month ended. While …
More than Ever, Signs Point to Low Interest Rates as ‘The New Normal’ August kicked off with a flurry of market activity that included Wall Street’s worst day of the year. After sliding downward to start the month, the stock market took a precipitous drop on August 5th. By the end, the S&P 500 had …
As Summer Begins, Sideways Stock Market Remains Erratic as Ever As summer gets into full swing, things haven’t changed much in the financial markets. The yield curve is still inverted, uncertainty still surrounds the Trump Administration’s trade war with China, and the stock market is still on the same sideways rollercoaster ride it’s been on …
Don’t Let Renewed Market Turbulence Rattle Your Summer What a difference a month makes in today’s markets! As you may recall, in last month’s newsletter I reported that the S&P 500 had hit a new record high in April, and that the Dow Jones Industrial Average had spent an entire month over 26,000 for the …
Flat Yield Curve May Help Boost Stock Market Until Reality Hits In last month’s newsletter, I explained that the recent flattening of the yield curve might actually help the stock market in the short-term. So far, that’s proving to be true. The S&P 500 hit a new record high in April, and for the first …
Whether Intentional or Not, Fed’s Flattening of the Yield Curve is Bad News As regular readers know, I’ve been warning about the potential dangers of a flat yield curve ever since late 2016. That’s when the Federal Reserve first started raising short-term interest rates again after holding them to near-zero for seven years in conjunction …
How Investing for Income is a ‘Permission Slip’ to Enjoy Retirement There’s a question that sometimes comes up regarding my income-based approach to retirement planning that I’d like to address in a couple of different ways. The question is basically this: what if I don’t need more income? That’s simplifying it a bit, but there …
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