Wall Street clung to optimism in August despite a growing number of skeletons in the world’s geopolitical closet, any one of which has the potential to spill out and send the markets tumbling with it. Will it happen this Fall? I’m sure you’re aware of the skeletons I’m referring to. One, of course, is the …
If you’ve ever taken a long drive, you know it’s important to prepare mentally for the trip. For example, if you’ve ever driven from New England to Florida, you know that reaching the Florida border is exciting. Instinctively you think: “I’ve made it!” However, if your destination is on the southern end of the Sunshine …
The Summer that began with so much optimism is coming to an end. While Wall Street is still clinging to optimism, its grip may be severely tested this Fall. A host of issues have emerged that could impact all the financial markets just as we head into a season already known for market turmoil. Are …
September 2021- Skeletons are Piling Up in the World’s Closet as Fall Arrives Read More »
Through much of July, the financial markets seemed as confused about the future of the economy as the rest of us were about the coronavirus. Investors seemed giddy with optimism one week, wary the next week, then giddy again. That’s how most of us are feeling about the pandemic as Covid-19 variant cases spike, and …
August 2021 – Optimism Holds as Summer Fades, But Can it Continue? Read More »
We’re halfway through the year already, and in some ways the second half of 2021 is poised to be dramatically different than the first. That’s because the “return to normal” that began at the start of this year is now well underway and will continue to expand in the next six months. Most mask-wearing mandates …
July 2021 – Will the Second Half of 2021 be ‘Better’ in Every Way? Read More »
In last month’s newsletter I talked a bit about brewing inflation fears. Those fears increased in May as prices continued to do the same. That triggered some stock market volatility and a lot of debate about whether inflation might start to impede our economic recovery in the coming months—or even reverse it. According to the …
June 2021 – Inflation Fears Rise Higher but No One’s Panicking… Yet Read More »
What a difference a year makes. At the start of May 2020, the stock market was struggling to crawl out of a deep crater triggered by the onset of the Covid-19 crisis. By May 1st it was only halfway back. Meanwhile, the economy was about to experience its worst quarter of economic shrinkage ever. Businesses …
May 2021 – As Markets Pause to ‘Take Stock,’ So Should You Read More »
Last month, I explained how something called credit spread compression helped dramatically minimize the negative impact of rising interest rates for income investors in February. As long-term rates rose higher in March, income investors continued to benefit from the natural “softening” effect of credit spread compression. In addition, some income portfolios benefitted further from other …
April 2021 – Credit Spreads & Other Factors Continue to Help Income Investors Read More »
For much of the past year, we’ve seen long-term interest rates go down and Covid-19 numbers go up. That trend reversed itself dramatically in February, with coronavirus infection rates continuing to decline from their January peak, and interest rates finally topping their pre-pandemic high. The first trend is obviously great news. The second trend might …
March 2021 – Credit Spread Compression ‘Softens’ the Impact of Rising Rates Read More »
Though the challenging year of 2020 finally ended, the first month of the New Year was no big improvement. As expected, coronavirus case numbers continued to rise, and the long-awaited vaccine rollout was fraught with problems. Meanwhile, new strains of the Covid-19 virus emerged and—even as a new presidential administration took office—the nation remained as …
February 2021 – GameStop Saga & Interest Rate Jump Highlight a Wild January Read More »
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